Scouting Report
Tanner Kero holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gionta wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 43.1% vs Kero 47.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 69.2%
Defensive zone
Gionta 75.0%
Neutral zone
Gionta 52.3%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Gionta
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gionta
Kero
Last 6: Gionta 3-3 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Gionta
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Kero
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (612)
44.5% (119)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (66)
50.0% (4)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Kero has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Gionta is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Gionta shoots right. Kero is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Gionta
Kero
Home
41.3% (344)
43.8% (48)
Away
42.9% (347)
45.3% (75)
By Period
Gionta
Kero
P1
39.8%
45.8%
P2
46.8%
48.8%
P3
39.5%
38.2%
Final 5 min
35.2%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |