Scouting Report
Tanner Kero holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gionta wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 41.2% vs Kero 46.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 57.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 59.9%
Neutral zone
Kero 51.2%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Gionta
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gionta
Kero
Last 6: Gionta 3-3 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
1
Gionta
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
2
Gionta
Kero
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (1,902)
47.0% (668)
-6.4%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
42.9% (7)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (292)
31.9% (47)
+8.2%
On power play, Gionta has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Gionta shoots right. Kero is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Gionta
Kero
Home
42.6% (1,074)
49.1% (332)
Away
39.1% (1,147)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Gionta
Kero
P1
40.8%
47.6%
P2
41.8%
48.8%
P3
39.8%
40.9%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |