Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Downie 47.5% vs Graovac 47.1% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Downie 53.9%
Defensive zone
Graovac 53.5%
Neutral zone
Graovac 53.7%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Downie
Graovac
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Downie
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (131)
46.5% (497)
+1.6%
Power Play
43.7% (71)
50.0% (4)
-6.3%
On power play, Graovac has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Downie is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Downie shoots right. Graovac is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Downie
Graovac
Home
49.5% (93)
47.6% (233)
Away
43.6% (110)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Downie
Graovac
P1
41.8%
41.7%
P2
38.6%
47.4%
P3
60.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.3%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%