Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Spezza wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 51.9% vs Ott 53.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 53.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 91.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 68.2%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Spezza
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Spezza
Ott
Last 6: Spezza 5-1 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Ott
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
1
Spezza
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (526)
58.2% (208)
-6.9%
Power Play
57.7% (123)
50.0% (4)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
45.5% (66)
-0.7%
On power play, Spezza has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Spezza shoots right. Ott is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Spezza
Ott
Home
53.7% (374)
53.5% (101)
Away
50.3% (304)
55.9% (177)
By Period
Spezza
Ott
P1
50.2%
57.0%
P2
50.2%
57.7%
P3
56.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |