Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 55.7%). Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smithson wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 54.5% vs Ott 54.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 59.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 54.7%
Neutral zone
Smithson 52.7%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Smithson
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smithson
Ott
Last 5: Smithson 3-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
1
Smithson
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (371)
54.8% (305)
+0.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
56.8% (95)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (99)
57.0% (135)
-3.5%
On power play, Smithson has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Smithson shoots right. Ott is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Smithson
Ott
Home
55.4% (249)
58.7% (271)
Away
55.5% (229)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Smithson
Ott
P1
55.8%
60.4%
P2
52.6%
54.0%
P3
56.6%
52.6%
OT
83.3%
65.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 04:41 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |