Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Abdelkader wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Ott 56.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 71.5%
Defensive zone
Ott 66.2%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 63.4%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Abdelkader
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Abdelkader
Ott
Last 9: Abdelkader 4-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
3
2
Abdelkader
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Abdelkader
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Abdelkader
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
58.8% (720)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.5% (179)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
53.2% (235)
+3.3%
On even strength, Ott has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Abdelkader is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Abdelkader shoots left. Ott is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Ott
Home
56.9% (204)
59.3% (562)
Away
49.1% (226)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Abdelkader
Ott
P1
48.4%
57.3%
P2
52.2%
54.1%
P3
59.5%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |