Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Ott 54.7% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 73.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 74.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Backlund
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backlund
Ott
Last 5: Backlund 1-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Backlund
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Backlund
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Backlund
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
59.6% (228)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
71.4% (7)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
38.8% (49)
-0.2%
On power play, Ott has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Backlund shoots left. Ott is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ott
Home
51.0% (396)
61.9% (126)
Away
46.1% (479)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Backlund
Ott
P1
43.9%
65.4%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
51.0%
55.1%
OT
12.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Steve Ott |