Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.5% vs Ott 56.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 80.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 81.6%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Carter
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Carter
Ott
Last 8: Carter 2-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Carter
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
4
Carter
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (404)
58.8% (720)
-8.1%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
52.5% (179)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (62)
53.2% (235)
-3.2%
On even strength, Ott has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Carter shoots left. Ott is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Carter
Ott
Home
48.2% (220)
59.3% (562)
Away
52.7% (258)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Carter
Ott
P1
53.2%
57.3%
P2
50.3%
54.1%
P3
48.7%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |