Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.4% vs 56.6%). Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kesler wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Ott 56.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 65.5%
Defensive zone
Ott 71.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 60.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kesler
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Kesler
Ott
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
9
Kesler
Ott
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
6
Kesler
Ott
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
58.8% (720)
-1.5%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
52.5% (179)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
53.2% (235)
+1.7%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Kesler shoots right. Ott is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Kesler
Ott
Home
58.6% (766)
59.3% (562)
Away
56.2% (730)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Kesler
Ott
P1
58.9%
57.3%
P2
56.8%
54.1%
P3
57.5%
58.4%
OT
31.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 07:19 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Steve Ott |