Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Ott wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 84.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 66.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Ott
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Ott
Stamkos
Last 10: Ott 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
11
Ott
Stamkos
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
6
3
Ott
Stamkos
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Ott
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
50.4% (9,799)
+6.8%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
55.1% (1,725)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
49.7% (825)
+0.2%
On even strength, Ott has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Ott shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Ott
Stamkos
Home
56.8% (2,130)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Ott
Stamkos
P1
56.7%
49.1%
P2
53.9%
52.7%
P3
55.7%
50.9%
OT
60.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |