Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.0% vs Zajac 55.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 53.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 58.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 50.6%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Ott
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Ott
Zajac
Last 7: Ott 4-3 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ott
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
1
Ott
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (705)
57.8% (161)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.8% (154)
55.0% (20)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (145)
52.9% (17)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Ott is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Ott shoots left. Zajac is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Ott
Zajac
Home
54.9% (526)
59.1% (127)
Away
56.1% (485)
55.8% (77)
By Period
Ott
Zajac
P1
55.4%
59.7%
P2
54.0%
56.7%
P3
56.1%
56.7%
OT
73.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |