Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings). Ott wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Zajac 54.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 28-18 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 62.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 56.3%
Neutral zone
Zajac 57.5%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Ott
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
18
(46 meetings)
28
18
Ott
Zajac
Last 10: Ott 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
8
10
Ott
Zajac
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
19
4
Ott
Zajac
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
4
Ott
Zajac
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
54.4% (9,056)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
59.1% (1,498)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Ott shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Ott
Zajac
Home
56.8% (2,130)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Ott
Zajac
P1
56.7%
53.8%
P2
53.9%
55.6%
P3
55.7%
53.6%
OT
60.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |