Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ott wins 57.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Johnson 49.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 53.9%
Defensive zone
Ott 86.0%
Neutral zone
Ott 73.3%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Ott
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Ott
Johnson
Last 10: Ott 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
6
2
Ott
Johnson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Ott
Johnson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ott
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
49.8% (5,396)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
54.6% (885)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
42.3% (707)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Ott shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Ott
Johnson
Home
56.8% (2,130)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Ott
Johnson
P1
56.7%
50.1%
P2
53.9%
50.6%
P3
55.7%
48.4%
OT
60.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
56.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |