Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Parise on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.0% vs Parise 49.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 68.6%
Defensive zone
Parise 57.5%
Neutral zone
Parise 58.4%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Ott
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ott
Parise
Last 9: Ott 4-5 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Ott
Parise
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Parise
1
2
Ott
Parise
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
3
2
Ott
Parise
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (705)
44.4% (54)
+12.5%
Power Play
55.8% (154)
100.0% (1)
-44.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (145)
57.1% (7)
-8.8%
On power play, Parise has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Ott shoots left. Parise is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Ott
Parise
Home
54.9% (526)
55.0% (20)
Away
56.1% (485)
44.2% (43)
By Period
Ott
Parise
P1
55.4%
60.9%
P2
54.0%
36.8%
P3
56.1%
42.1%
OT
73.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |