Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Parise on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ott wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Parise 42.2% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 84.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 82.0%
Neutral zone
Parise 52.5%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Ott
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Ott
Parise
Last 9: Ott 4-5 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Ott
Parise
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Parise
1
2
Ott
Parise
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
3
2
Ott
Parise
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
40.9% (352)
+16.3%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
41.1% (95)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
35.0% (40)
+14.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Ott shoots left. Parise is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Ott
Parise
Home
56.8% (2,130)
36.1% (238)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Ott
Parise
P1
56.7%
44.8%
P2
53.9%
39.4%
P3
55.7%
37.3%
OT
60.8%
30.8%
Final 5 min
56.2%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |