Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ott wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 54.8% vs Smith 51.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 67.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Ott
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ott
Smith
Last 6: Ott 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Ott
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ott
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (305)
52.6% (635)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.8% (95)
45.5% (44)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
57.0% (135)
48.1% (52)
+8.9%
On power play, Ott has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ott is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Ott shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Ott
Smith
Home
58.7% (271)
53.4% (371)
Away
52.7% (264)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Ott
Smith
P1
60.4%
50.2%
P2
54.0%
52.2%
P3
52.6%
52.7%
OT
65.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |