Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Ott wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ott 55.4% vs Smith 50.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 60.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 67.4%
Neutral zone
Ott 63.6%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Ott
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Ott
Smith
Last 10: Ott 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Ott
Smith
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
5
4
Ott
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
2
0
Ott
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ott
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (2,802)
51.6% (5,265)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
51.2% (342)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.9% (853)
45.3% (985)
+4.6%
On even strength, Ott has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Ott shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Ott
Smith
Home
56.8% (2,130)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
54.2% (2,103)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Ott
Smith
P1
56.7%
49.9%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
55.7%
51.9%
OT
60.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Steve Ott |