Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 47.9%). Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 66.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 61.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 59.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Compher
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Compher
Lorentz
Last 8: Compher 6-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Lorentz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
48.3% (497)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
63.6% (11)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
38.5% (39)
+5.1%
On power play, Lorentz has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Compher
Lorentz
Home
50.7% (872)
50.4% (238)
Away
46.8% (793)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Compher
Lorentz
P1
49.9%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
48.0%
P3
49.0%
47.2%
OT
46.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |