Aleksander Barkov vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 56.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Barkov
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Barkov
Stamkos
Last 10: Barkov 1-9 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
5
Barkov
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Barkov
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Barkov
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
55.9% (499)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
56.3% (126)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
58.3% (12)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stamkos
Home
57.4% (540)
55.3% (349)
Away
57.1% (560)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Barkov
Stamkos
P1
57.6%
57.0%
P2
56.6%
59.2%
P3
56.9%
51.5%
OT
72.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |