Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 64.9%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 63.5%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 62.5%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Wheeler
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wheeler
Stamkos
Last 5: Wheeler 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Wheeler
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Wheeler
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
54.1% (460)
-3.5%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
64.2% (106)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
45.3% (106)
+0.5%
On power play, Stamkos has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Stamkos is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Stamkos
Home
52.8% (352)
58.2% (328)
Away
46.3% (300)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Wheeler
Stamkos
P1
46.8%
57.5%
P2
57.7%
53.1%
P3
44.8%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |