Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.3% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 69.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 97.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 92.9%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Gordon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Gordon
Stamkos
Last 8: Gordon 7-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
1
Gordon
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (854)
45.6% (1,055)
+11.3%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
46.6% (116)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
56.6% (290)
42.1% (38)
+14.5%
On power play, Gordon has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Gordon is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Gordon shoots right. Stamkos is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Gordon
Stamkos
Home
55.6% (595)
48.4% (636)
Away
58.1% (582)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Gordon
Stamkos
P1
57.5%
45.7%
P2
59.8%
46.8%
P3
53.9%
43.7%
OT
36.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |