Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Stamkos 49.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 92.5%
Defensive zone
Gordon 54.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 75.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Gordon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Gordon
Stamkos
Last 6: Gordon 1-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
4
Gordon
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Gordon
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
48.7% (831)
+9.5%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
53.5% (86)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
69.2% (26)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Gordon is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Gordon shoots right. Stamkos is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Gordon
Stamkos
Home
58.4% (586)
52.5% (474)
Away
53.6% (632)
46.9% (469)
By Period
Gordon
Stamkos
P1
55.8%
46.3%
P2
58.1%
52.0%
P3
53.3%
51.2%
OT
68.8%
43.8%
Final 5 min
57.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |