Christian Dvorak vs Steven Stamkos
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.3%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Stamkos 53.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 52.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Dvorak
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorak
Stamkos
Last 5: Dvorak 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Dvorak
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Dvorak
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
54.1% (460)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
64.2% (106)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
45.3% (106)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Dvorak is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Dvorak shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Stamkos
Home
58.6% (444)
58.2% (328)
Away
52.1% (505)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Dvorak
Stamkos
P1
54.5%
57.5%
P2
53.6%
53.1%
P3
57.1%
52.7%
OT
56.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |