Connor McMichael vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 88.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 81.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 88.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
McMichael
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McMichael
Stamkos
Last 7: McMichael 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
McMichael
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
McMichael
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McMichael
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
55.9% (499)
-12.5%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
56.3% (126)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
58.3% (12)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stamkos
Home
42.1% (444)
55.3% (349)
Away
42.8% (428)
56.9% (288)
By Period
McMichael
Stamkos
P1
42.5%
57.0%
P2
41.9%
59.2%
P3
42.5%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
39.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |