Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Krejci wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 48.5% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 74.8%
Defensive zone
Krejci 73.0%
Neutral zone
Krejci 71.4%
Result
David Krejci favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Krejci
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Krejci
Stamkos
Last 10: Krejci 2-8 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Krejci
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Krejci
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (999)
52.9% (735)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.0% (63)
53.4% (73)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
53.8% (145)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Krejci is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Krejci shoots right. Stamkos is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stamkos
Home
50.4% (570)
54.1% (481)
Away
46.3% (525)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Krejci
Stamkos
P1
48.2%
50.2%
P2
48.2%
53.4%
P3
48.5%
55.8%
OT
57.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
48.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | David Krejci |