Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 50.3% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 82.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 74.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Krejci
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Krejci
Stamkos
Last 6: Krejci 5-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
2
1
Krejci
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
0
Krejci
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (645)
54.1% (460)
-5.3%
Power Play
66.2% (68)
64.2% (106)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
45.3% (106)
+0.5%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Krejci is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Krejci shoots right. Stamkos is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stamkos
Home
51.9% (374)
58.2% (328)
Away
48.8% (363)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Krejci
Stamkos
P1
52.2%
57.5%
P2
51.4%
53.1%
P3
47.8%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | David Krejci |