Elias Pettersson vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 57.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 75.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Pettersson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pettersson
Stamkos
Last 7: Pettersson 5-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Pettersson
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
55.9% (499)
-5.5%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
56.3% (126)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
58.3% (12)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Stamkos
Home
50.7% (420)
55.3% (349)
Away
50.9% (379)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Pettersson
Stamkos
P1
48.0%
57.0%
P2
47.6%
59.2%
P3
57.5%
51.5%
OT
30.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |