Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 78.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Kunin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kunin
Stamkos
Last 6: Kunin 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Kunin
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
49.3% (670)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
53.7% (121)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
33.3% (3)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Kunin has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kunin is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Kunin shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Kunin
Stamkos
Home
45.9% (194)
54.0% (400)
Away
48.0% (204)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Kunin
Stamkos
P1
43.2%
48.6%
P2
46.3%
54.5%
P3
52.1%
45.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |