Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 61.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 70.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Domi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Domi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Domi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
56.1% (342)
-5.7%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
53.3% (92)
+6.0%
On power play, Domi has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Domi is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Domi shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Domi
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (174)
53.4% (208)
Away
53.3% (107)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Domi
Stamkos
P1
45.7%
55.6%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
57.3%
59.1%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
38.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Max Domi |