Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Stamkos 46.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 83.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 76.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 79.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Koivu
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Koivu
Stamkos
Last 6: Koivu 5-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (842)
46.0% (767)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.2% (248)
50.0% (126)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (178)
46.2% (26)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Koivu is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Koivu shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Koivu
Stamkos
Home
54.1% (621)
49.7% (441)
Away
51.6% (672)
43.6% (486)
By Period
Koivu
Stamkos
P1
52.0%
43.7%
P2
55.5%
50.2%
P3
51.2%
45.1%
OT
45.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |