Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nash wins 35.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 45.8% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 71.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Nash
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Nash
Stamkos
Last 8: Nash 5-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
0
Nash
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
4
2
Nash
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Nash
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (270)
48.1% (669)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
58.2% (110)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
50.0% (40)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Nash is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Nash shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Nash
Stamkos
Home
44.2% (147)
52.0% (402)
Away
44.4% (142)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Nash
Stamkos
P1
39.1%
46.3%
P2
47.8%
52.4%
P3
45.5%
50.2%
Final 5 min
42.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |