Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stamkos wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.6% vs Brouwer 48.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 63.0%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 63.1%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 64.1%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Stamkos
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stamkos
Brouwer
Last 5: Stamkos 1-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
2
Stamkos
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
2
Stamkos
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (669)
50.0% (114)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.2% (110)
49.4% (83)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
37.1% (35)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Stamkos shoots right. Brouwer is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Brouwer
Home
52.0% (402)
48.0% (123)
Away
47.2% (417)
47.7% (109)
By Period
Stamkos
Brouwer
P1
46.3%
40.5%
P2
52.4%
47.4%
P3
50.2%
55.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.6%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |