Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Brouwer on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.0%
Defensive zone
Brouwer 53.8%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 57.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stamkos
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stamkos
Brouwer
Last 9: Stamkos 4-5 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
2
Stamkos
Brouwer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
1
3
Stamkos
Brouwer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
50.3% (702)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
53.7% (551)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
46.6% (412)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Stamkos shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Brouwer
Home
52.7% (6,248)
53.5% (854)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Stamkos
Brouwer
P1
49.1%
51.4%
P2
52.7%
49.3%
P3
50.9%
51.2%
OT
54.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |