Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 49.8% vs Rask 50.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 52.0%
Defensive zone
Rask 60.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 69.7%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Stamkos
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stamkos
Rask
Last 5: Stamkos 4-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (831)
51.4% (863)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.5% (86)
55.9% (34)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
69.2% (26)
23.8% (21)
+45.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +45.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stamkos is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Stamkos shoots right. Rask is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Rask
Home
52.5% (474)
53.2% (494)
Away
46.9% (469)
48.3% (424)
By Period
Stamkos
Rask
P1
46.3%
49.2%
P2
52.0%
48.9%
P3
51.2%
54.4%
OT
43.8%
63.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |