Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.9% vs Rask 50.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 55.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stamkos
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stamkos
Rask
Last 5: Stamkos 3-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Stamkos
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (789)
50.6% (172)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.9% (181)
50.0% (4)
+6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Stamkos shoots right. Rask is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Rask
Home
52.0% (512)
53.7% (82)
Away
50.2% (556)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Stamkos
Rask
P1
42.1%
56.0%
P2
56.4%
47.5%
P3
53.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Victor Rask |