Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 50.0% vs Rask 51.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 64.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 73.5%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Stamkos
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Stamkos
Rask
Last 10: Stamkos 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
0
Stamkos
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
1
Stamkos
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Stamkos
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (771)
51.7% (862)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
45.3% (64)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (82)
44.4% (9)
+0.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Stamkos shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Rask
Home
50.7% (487)
53.6% (466)
Away
49.1% (440)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Stamkos
Rask
P1
46.1%
52.4%
P2
52.0%
50.5%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
OT
54.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |