Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Oshie 43.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 88.1%
Defensive zone
Paquette 61.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 63.7%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Paquette
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Paquette
Oshie
Last 8: Paquette 2-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
6
Paquette
Oshie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
41.2% (51)
+13.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
41.8% (141)
+58.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
30.8% (13)
+9.4%
On power play, Paquette has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Oshie is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Paquette
Oshie
Home
53.3% (428)
42.4% (118)
Away
51.8% (340)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Paquette
Oshie
P1
54.4%
39.1%
P2
53.0%
38.0%
P3
50.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |