Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Oshie 48.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 84.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 65.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Larkin
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Larkin
Oshie
Last 5: Larkin 1-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Larkin
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
43.1% (58)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
50.3% (143)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
40.0% (10)
+8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Larkin shoots left. Oshie is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Larkin
Oshie
Home
51.4% (652)
51.8% (110)
Away
48.5% (662)
43.6% (101)
By Period
Larkin
Oshie
P1
49.1%
47.7%
P2
52.0%
46.5%
P3
48.0%
47.8%
OT
52.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |