Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 51.9% vs Oshie 45.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 93.0%
Defensive zone
Oshie 58.1%
Neutral zone
Oshie 76.1%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 80.6%
19.4%
80.6%
Pahlsson
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Pahlsson
Oshie
Last 7: Pahlsson 1-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Pahlsson
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pahlsson
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Pahlsson
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (934)
46.8% (186)
+5.0%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
25.0% (16)
+32.9%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (332)
36.0% (25)
+16.4%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Pahlsson shoots left. Oshie is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Oshie
Home
56.5% (628)
47.2% (106)
Away
47.8% (670)
41.3% (121)
By Period
Pahlsson
Oshie
P1
55.9%
55.6%
P2
49.4%
40.8%
P3
50.8%
37.5%
OT
37.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |