Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Oshie wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 46.4% vs Rask 50.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 84.4%
Defensive zone
Rask 74.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 66.7%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Oshie
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Oshie
Rask
Last 8: Oshie 3-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Oshie
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Oshie
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Oshie
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (764)
50.0% (4,428)
-4.8%
Power Play
47.7% (1,221)
54.3% (363)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (164)
35.2% (54)
+5.0%
On power play, Rask has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Oshie shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Oshie
Rask
Home
48.7% (1,103)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
43.7% (1,047)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Oshie
Rask
P1
47.3%
50.7%
P2
45.2%
48.9%
P3
46.7%
50.7%
OT
40.8%
52.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Victor Rask |