Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Tynan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Tynan 49.1% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 62.6%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 90.7%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 77.5%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Gaunce
Tynan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaunce
Tynan
Last 7: Gaunce 5-2 Tynan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
2
Gaunce
Tynan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Tynan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Tynan
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
40.0% (10)
+18.1%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tynan shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Tynan is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Tynan
Home
54.8% (93)
40.0% (10)
Away
59.1% (88)
0.0% (0)
By Period
Gaunce
Tynan
P1
62.3%
0.0%
P2
48.1%
100.0%
P3
59.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Tynan
36.0%▲
32.3%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | T.J. Tynan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | T.J. Tynan |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |