Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Thompson 43.7% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 82.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 90.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 88.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Schenn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Schenn
Thompson
Last 9: Schenn 7-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
0
Schenn
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Schenn
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
41.9% (597)
+10.3%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
50.5% (95)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
25.0% (12)
+32.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Schenn
Thompson
Home
51.1% (575)
47.1% (367)
Away
53.4% (607)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Schenn
Thompson
P1
51.4%
44.2%
P2
52.7%
41.6%
P3
52.7%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:56 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |