Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.0% vs Thompson 41.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Jarnkrok
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Thompson
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Jarnkrok
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (326)
40.6% (801)
+11.2%
Power Play
54.4% (79)
44.7% (103)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (62)
31.0% (71)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Jarnkrok is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Thompson
Home
53.0% (281)
43.2% (507)
Away
48.4% (186)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Thompson
P1
51.6%
37.7%
P2
50.6%
43.4%
P3
51.5%
39.5%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |