Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Thompson 41.2% (+20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 69.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Giroux
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Giroux
Thompson
Last 8: Giroux 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Giroux
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
40.6% (801)
+17.1%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
44.7% (103)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
31.0% (71)
+34.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Giroux is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Giroux shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thompson
Home
62.5% (675)
43.2% (507)
Away
57.5% (541)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Giroux
Thompson
P1
60.6%
37.7%
P2
59.8%
43.4%
P3
60.9%
39.5%
OT
47.4%
27.3%
Final 5 min
64.2%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |