Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Thompson 43.8% (+20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 97.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Toews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Toews
Thompson
Last 7: Toews 7-0 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
43.3% (735)
+17.8%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
50.0% (26)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
36.5% (52)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Toews
Thompson
Home
64.8% (560)
44.5% (407)
Away
60.6% (381)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Toews
Thompson
P1
62.3%
44.4%
P2
63.9%
44.8%
P3
62.8%
40.2%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |