Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Patrick wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 48.9% vs Thompson 41.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 85.1%
Defensive zone
Patrick 73.8%
Neutral zone
Patrick 82.0%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Patrick
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Patrick
Thompson
Last 6: Patrick 5-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Patrick
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
0
Patrick
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (156)
40.6% (801)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
44.7% (103)
+11.6%
On power play, Patrick has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Patrick shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Patrick
Thompson
Home
43.8% (96)
43.2% (507)
Away
53.9% (76)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Patrick
Thompson
P1
44.4%
37.7%
P2
45.6%
43.4%
P3
56.0%
39.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |