Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 45.3% vs Stützle 52.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 81.8%
Defensive zone
Stützle 50.3%
Neutral zone
Stützle 65.4%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Thompson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thompson
Stützle
Last 5: Thompson 3-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (642)
53.0% (485)
-8.1%
Power Play
47.9% (94)
55.2% (58)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
56.7% (30)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Thompson shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Thompson
Stützle
Home
46.0% (391)
52.5% (282)
Away
43.4% (378)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Thompson
Stützle
P1
48.1%
52.1%
P2
44.9%
56.2%
P3
41.2%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |