Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 43.8% vs Stützle 43.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.3%
Defensive zone
Stützle 61.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.5%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Thompson
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thompson
Stützle
Last 7: Thompson 3-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
4
Thompson
Stützle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Stützle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (735)
42.7% (457)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (52)
25.0% (24)
+11.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thompson shoots right. Stützle is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Thompson
Stützle
Home
44.5% (407)
43.1% (253)
Away
41.6% (406)
39.9% (233)
By Period
Thompson
Stützle
P1
44.4%
44.9%
P2
44.8%
43.9%
P3
40.2%
35.8%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |