Scouting Report
Travis Boyd holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 41.2% vs Boyd 45.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Boyd 52.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Thompson
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thompson
Boyd
Last 6: Thompson 3-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Thompson
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (801)
45.9% (784)
-5.3%
Power Play
44.7% (103)
43.2% (81)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (71)
40.3% (62)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Boyd has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Thompson shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Thompson
Boyd
Home
43.2% (507)
45.1% (501)
Away
37.2% (468)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Thompson
Boyd
P1
37.7%
45.9%
P2
43.4%
44.6%
P3
39.5%
45.8%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |