Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mitchell wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Kero 45.4% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 92.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 79.5%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 85.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Mitchell
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Mitchell
Kero
Last 7: Mitchell 6-1 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
1
Mitchell
Kero
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
45.9% (434)
+9.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
50.0% (2)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
25.7% (35)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Mitchell is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (319).
Mitchell shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Kero
Home
61.9% (265)
47.7% (214)
Away
49.1% (273)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Mitchell
Kero
P1
54.9%
44.4%
P2
56.8%
48.5%
P3
54.5%
39.4%
Final 5 min
55.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | John Mitchell |